Text Box: Chapman Hill Road
Holt Drive
Bigfork Village

Section VIII: Present and Future Land Use

Figure VIII-1 depicts the zoning classifications (see also Table 1 above) for the primary property of survey participants.  For the same property, Figure VIII-2 depicts their zoning expectations for future use of the property.  From a proportional perspective, note that the relative sizes of the pie slices remain consistent between current and future use, which could give the impression property owners anticipate little change in the use of their property over time.  However, a closer examination of the numbers of participants that marked each future use area (outside edge or each pie slice) reveals considerably fewer property owners were in the future area compared to the same classification for current use.

Figure VIII-3 dramatically demonstrates this change.  For example, of those owners whose primary property is currently zoned AG 20-80, there are 36.8% fewer owners who believe their property will have that same zoning classification in the future, and 61.4% fewer owners of property zoned R3-5 who believe it will remain so in the future.  Similar trends are readily  apparent in Figure VIII-3.  These figures are considerably higher than those recorded in the 1993 survey when only twenty-four percent (24%) of respondents anticipated a future change in the use of their land.   In sum, these current data demonstrate the potential for considerable turmoil in terms of the land use expectations of land owners.  Taken together with the strong support of community zoning and planning already cited in Figures I-8 through I-11, this forecast of property use turmoil places an even greater urgency on the need for Bigfork’s future to be guided by a community planning approach that is thoughtful,  well-measured and fair.

(Note:  More turmoil than actually warranted may be indicated by these data as some respondents could have merely failed to fill in the “future use” blank, thereby registering a forecast change for their property from its current use.  This could partially explain the high turmoil forecast in the RC1, RA1 and R3-5 areas when it is difficult to imagine to what the owners think they may be changing.)